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Analysis & Commentary - Tony Badran

Tony Badran's Latest

19th April 2018 – Quoted by Adam Kredo - The Washington Free Beacon

U.S. Personnel Embedded With Lebanese Forces, Raising Concern Of Hezbollah Penetration

Tony Badran

A senior U.S. official disclosed this week that American personnel have been stationed in the Lebanese Armed Forces, or LAF, a contested fighting force that is closely aligned with the Iranian-backed terror group Hezbollah, according to testimony this week that has caused alarm in Congress and with regional experts. more...

18th April 2018 – Quoted by Alex Lockie - Business Insider

Israel sees an Iranian ‘air force’ assembling in Syria — and looks ready to deal it a knockout blow

Tony Badran, Jonathan Schanzer

Israel's military on Tuesday apparently let leak a series of news reports indicating that it sees an Iranian air force forming in Syria and hinting that it may be willing to deal it a knockout blow. more...

17th April 2018 – Syndicated

The John Batchelor Show

Tony Badran

FDD's Tony Badran joins the John Batchelor show to discuss Russia and Iran options in Syria. more...

14th April 2018 – Quoted by Pilar Cebrian - El Confidencial

Assad ya ha ganado la guerra: el ataque de Trump deja intacto al régimen de Damasco

Tony Badran

"¡Misión Cumplida! (La intervención militar) no podría haber tenido mejores resultados". Es el tuit triunfal del presidente Donald Trump horas después de la operación en Siria liderada por Estados Unidos en coordinación con Francia y Reino Unido. Un ataque con un blanco exclusivamente militar, según los propios líderes de la intervención, "que no persigue un cambio de régimen (en Siria)" y que deja intacto al Gobierno de Bashar al Assad. more...

4th April 2018 – Quoted by Pilar Cebrian - El Confidencial

¿Es invencible la presencia militar estadounidense en Siria?

Tony Badran

Fue una tentativa para tomar la planta de gas Conoco en la fructífera región siria de Deir ez Zor. La noche del 7 de febrero, cientos de tropas aliadas al régimen sirio atacaron una posición del ejército estadounidense en el norte del país. En respuesta, “la Coalición condujo bombardeos aéreos contra las fuerzas atacantes con el fin de repeler la agresión”, confirmó el mando central (CETCOM) en un comunicado. El contraataque dejó al menos 100 combatientes muertos, entre los que había varios mercenarios de Rusia, en el enfrentamiento más grave que ha tenido lugar entre Washington y Moscú desde la Guerra Fría. more...

21st March 2018 – Quoted by Elliott Abrams - Council on Foreign Relations

What’s Next For Lebanon? Stability and Security Challenges

Tony Badran


20th March 2018 – Hoover Institute

Why Offense is the Best Defense Against Russia and Iran in Syria

Tony Badran

In January, the Trump administration unveiled its strategy for Syria. In an address at the Hoover Institution, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson laid out five key objectives, in the process, made clear that the top priority was containing Iran. The US, he said, would deny Iran the “arch” it is building from Tehran to the Mediterranean, and it would prevent Iran from using Syria as a springboard from which to threaten neighboring countries. more...

19th March 2018 – Quoted by Alex Lockie - Business Insider

Why Russia, Assad, and Iran combined don’t stand a chance against just 2,000 US troops in Syria

Tony Badran

Since the US-led effort against the Islamic State has reclaimed almost all of the terrorist group's territory in Syria, 2,000 or so US forces remain in control of the country's rich oil fields. more...

14th March 2018 – Quoted by Adam Turner - Newsmax

The US Shouldn’t Be Funding Hezbollah

Tony Badran

On a trip to Lebanon, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson had some harsh words for Hezbollah, the terror organization that Lebanon’s prime minister is reported to have said is so powerful that it can’t be controlled or confronted by the government. more...

27th February 2018 – Quoted by Owen Kirby - The Hill

Working with Hezbollah: The elephant in US-Lebanon policy

Tony Badran

For a brief moment, the secretary of State appeared ready to challenge the status quo. But it was not meant to be. On a whirlwind tour of the Middle East this month, it seemed that Secretary Tillerson’s every word faced critical parsing back home. In the region, on the hand, things went according to plans, for the most part: long standing alliances were reinforced, international priorities reiterated, and core U.S. interests reconfirmed. more...

26th February 2018 – Quoted by Ari Lieberman - Frontpage Magazine

Obama’s Shadow Looms Over US Lebanon Policy

Tony Badran

Early this week, Lebanon’s top army commander, Joseph Aoun, threatened to “confront any Israeli aggression, whatever that costs.” Aoun was referring to Lebanon’s contrived maritime and land border disputes with Israel. Aoun further noted that the Lebanese Armed Forces “would not spare any method” in challenging Israel. With those words, Aoun signed the LAF’s death warrant. more...

26th February 2018 – i24 News


Tony Badran

FDD's Tony Badran joins i24 News to discuss the latest news regarding the Ghouta ceasefire and Putin's proposed "humanitarian pause." more...

21st February 2018 – Quoted by The Tower

Expert: U.S. Miscalculations in Lebanon Strengthen Iran, Hezbollah Threats against Israel

Tony Badran

Missteps made by Secretary of State Rex Tillerson on his visit to Lebanon last week have helped “in securing an Iranian realm on Israel’s border,” an expert in Lebanese affairs wrote in an analysis published Tuesday in Tablet magazine. more...

20th February 2018 – Tablet Magazine

Rex Tillerson Babbles in Beirut While Middle East War Looms

Tony Badran

Sec. of State Rex Tillerson visited Lebanon last Thursday, and let’s just say it wasn’t exactly a shining moment for U.S. diplomacy. Tillerson was made to sit alone in a room with no American flag in sight and wait, as photographers took pictures and video, before Hezbollah’s chief allies in Lebanon’s government, President Michel Aoun and his son-in-law the foreign minister, finally came out to greet him. more...

19th February 2018 – Quoted by Benny Avni - New York Post

No, America: Lebanon is not your friend

Tony Badran

Is Lebanon America’s friend? The Trump administration, like its predecessors, wrongfully believes it can be. more...

18th February 2018 – Quoted by Michael Peck - The National Interest

Lebanon: Russia’s New Outpost in the Middle East?

Tony Badran

After gaining naval and air bases in Syria, Russia may now be setting its sights on Lebanon. Russian prime minister Dmitry Medvedev has ordered Russia's Defense Ministry to seek a military cooperation agreement with Lebanon. more...

15th February 2018 – Quoted by Jenna Lifhits - The Weekly Standard

Tillerson Was Not Claiming That Hezbollah Was a Legitimate Actor in the Lebanese Government

Tony Badran

The State Department is denying that Secretary of State Rex Tillerson on Wednesday described Hezbollah as a legitimate actor in the Lebanese government, after the secretary’s comments drew harsh criticism from regional experts. more...

15th February 2018 – Quoted by Meria Svirsky - Clarion Project

Did Tillerson Just Go Off Script About Hezbollah?

Tony Badran

Did U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson just go off script during his Middle East tour when he said the U.S. has to recognize that Hezbollah is “part of the political process in Lebanon?” more...

12th February 2018 – Quoted by The Tower

Experts: Drone Incursion Shows that Israeli-Iranian Status Quo is Unsustainable

Jonathan Schanzer, Tony Badran

The incursion on an Iranian drone into Israeli airspace and the subsequent Israeli response on Saturday show that Israel considers Iran’s efforts “to consolidate their strategic position” in Syria and Lebanon to threaten the Jewish state, are “unsustainable,” two experts on the Middle East in an op-ed published Sunday in The Wall Street Journal. more...

11th February 2018 – The Wall Street Journal

The Iran-Israel War Flares Up

Jonathan Schanzer, Tony Badran

The conflict between Israel and Iran may be heating up after a half-decade simmer. On Friday night Iran dispatched a drone from Syria that penetrated Israeli airspace in the Golan Heights. Israel destroyed it with an Apache helicopter. more...