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Analysis & Commentary - Reuel Marc Gerecht

Reuel Marc Gerecht's Latest

10th April 2018 – Quoted by The Tower

Save Print This Post Send to Kindle Iran Says It Could Enrich Uranium to 20% Within Two Days

Reuel Marc Gerecht

On the occasion of its National Nuclear Day, Iran boasted that it could enrich uranium to 20% in just two days’ time, if the United States would withdraw from the deal, the Associated Press reported Monday. The threat is an indication that the 2015 nuclear deal left much of the Islamic Republic’s nuclear infrastructure intact. more...

9th April 2018 – Quoted by Tom Rogan - The Washington Examiner

John Bolton: A complex worldview that just might work for Trump

Reuel Marc Gerecht

Long before John Bolton was named as President Trump's new national security adviser, a position he assumes on Monday, his name sparked diametrically opposite reactions in Washington. more...

9th April 2018 – Quoted by Michael Graham - CBS News

Commentary: Trump’s Syria quandary

Reuel Marc Gerecht, Thomas Joscelyn

Just a week ago, the headlines about President Trump and Syria all contained the word "withdraw." The president's directive to the U.S. military was to find a way out -- sooner rather than later. more...

5th April 2018 – Quoted by Mosaic Magazine

Pulling Out of the Nuclear Deal Won’t Send Iran Rushing to Build a Bomb

Reuel Marc Gerecht

As speculation mounts that President Trump will abandon the 2015 agreement to limit the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program, the agreement’s defenders have begun predicting that Tehran will respond by trying to develop atomic weapons as quickly as possible, leading to disaster. Reuel Marc Gerecht and Ray Takeyh doubt Iran will be so reckless. more...

5th April 2018 – Quoted by Iran News Update

Iran: Consequences of US Pulling out of Nuclear Deal

Reuel Marc Gerecht

With the announcement of a new Secretary of State and a new national security adviser, many have said that the odds of President Donald Trump pulling out of the 2015 Iran nuclear agreement have increased. more...

3rd April 2018 – Co-authored by Ray Takeyh - The Washington Post

Why Iran won’t rush to a bomb if Trump pulls out of the nuclear deal

Reuel Marc Gerecht

With John Bolton’s appointment as national security adviser, the odds have significantly risen that President Trump will abandon his predecessor’s nuclear deal with Iran. But there’s no need for hysteria. If Trump abandons the deal, the Islamic Republic still isn’t likely to run amok, ramping up its nuclear program and killing American soldiers in the Middle East. The calculated caution of Ali Akbar Salehi, the head of Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization, will probably win out. His tortoise-beats-the-hare approach to his country’s nuclear quest will be reinforced by the wild card that surely scares the mullahs the most: Trump. more...

20th March 2018 – Hoover Institution

The Syrian Great Game

Reuel Marc Gerecht

By definition “great games” are complicated with lots of moving parts. Battles on the ground, intense, myriad, and sometimes fratricidal, always connect, however indirectly, to the larger collision of great powers. In Syria, the tug-of-war is a lopsided affair, where Iran, Russia, and the Alawite regime of Bashar al-Assad are invested in winning. The opposing side—Syrian Arab Sunnis, Sunni Gulf Arabs, Israel, the United States, and Turkey—is barely an entente. In the most destructive conflict the modern Middle East has seen (the runner up, the Iran-Iraq war, though comparably lethal, was less destructive to civilians), Tehran and Moscow may not be able to reclaim all of the territory lost by Assad, but they have invested what is needed to regain the most essential parts of the country. more...

13th March 2018 – Fox News

Pompeo faces challenges from North Korea, Syria and Iran

Reuel Marc Gerecht

President Trump’s announcement Tuesday that he has removed Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and will nominate CIA Director Mike Pompeo to head the State Department will likely leave Pompeo spending most of his time in his new job dealing with three nations: North Korea, Syria and Iran. more...

13th March 2018 – Quoted by VOA Afrique

Mike Pompeo, de la CIA à secrétaire d’Etat

Reuel Marc Gerecht, Juan Zarate

Le président américain a mis fin à plusieurs mois d'incertitudes en annonçant sur Twitter le remplacement de Rex Tillerson, l'ancien patron du géant pétrolier Exxonmobil, par l'actuel patron de la CIA. more...

8th March 2018 – Quoted by David Weinberg - The Jerusalem Post

Hoping for Regime Change in Iran

Reuel Marc Gerecht

The legendary Uri Lubrani died this week at age 91. His foremost desire was to see the Islamic revolutionary regime in Iran overthrown, and he passionately believed that Israel and Western powers could and should do much more to bring this about. Lubrani’s passing is an opportunity to revisit this important issue. more...

6th March 2018 – Co-authored by Ray Takeyh - The Wall Street Journal

Let Rouhani and Khamenei Fight

Reuel Marc Gerecht

Iran’s Islamic revolutionaries criticize each other regularly, but recently the level of invective among the ruling elite has reached new heights. The vicious infighting between President Hassan Rouhani and his detractors now threatens the governing edifice of the Islamic Republic. Given the clerical regime’s aggressive foreign policy and nuclear ambitions, it is in America’s interest to see this power struggle intensify. more...

30th January 2018 – The Washington Post

Trump doesn’t know it, but Iranians are the Norwegians he’s been looking for

Reuel Marc Gerecht

The White House wants to keep Iranians out of the United States. Special circumstances will allow entrance to a lucky few, but standard non-immigrant and immigrant admission, if current practices stand judicial challenge, will essentially be over. The Trump administration justifies this ban, which includes five other majority-Muslim countries, on national security grounds — an odd argument, since such a concern ought to incline the administration to give more visas, not fewer, to Iranians. more...

22nd January 2018 – Quoted by Blake Franko - The National Interest

Where are U.S.-Iran Relations Headed?

Reuel Marc Gerecht

President Donald Trump indicated in mid-January that he’s extending sanctions relief to Iran for “the last time” and demanded extensive changes to the nuclear deal within the next four months. Will the deal be null and void by May? Or is there a path forward for America, Europe and an Iran that has been convulsed by protests? more...

11th January 2018 – BBC

BBC World Service

Reuel Marc Gerecht

The EU foreign policy chief, Federica Mogherini, said the accord was preventing a potential nuclear arms race. President Trump has called the agreement on Iran's nuclear programme a 'terrible deal'. more...

10th January 2018 – Quoted by Aaron Stein - War on the Rocks

Speaking Loudly and Carrying a Little Stick: The Myopic U.S. Debate about Iran

Mark Dubowitz, Reuel Marc Gerecht

Following a political miscalculation on both sides of its political spectrum, Iran in the first days of the year experienced a large wave of protests in more than 80 cities. The street demonstrations have begun to wane in recent days, although widespread reports of anti-regime slogans and continued economic challenges have prompted questions about whether the drop-off in public protests is a pyrrhic victory for the regime. more...

9th January 2018 – Foreign Podicy

Podcast - Upheaval in Iran: Causes and Consequences

Clifford D. May, Reuel Marc Gerecht, Behnam Ben Taleblu

Protests have been shaking the Islamic Republic of Iran. Foreign Podicy host Cliff May is joined by FDD senior fellow, Reuel Marc Gerecht, and FDD senior Iran analyst, Behnam Ben Taleblu, to discuss what this upheaval means, where it could lead, and how the U.S. and its Western counterparts should respond. more...

4th January 2018 – Alhurra

Alhurra

Reuel Marc Gerecht

FDD's Reuel Marc Gerecht joins Alhurra to discuss the Iran protests. more...

4th January 2018 – The Wall Street Journal

The Secular Republic of Iran

Reuel Marc Gerecht

Coverage of the recent tumult in the Islamic Republic of Iran has focused on how economic frustration is affecting the country’s politics. more...

4th January 2018 – The Weekly Standard

The Crack-up of Theocracy

Reuel Marc Gerecht

It is odd to hear Westerners, hopelessly permeated with Marxism, dissect the nationwide Iranian protests as primarily an economic eruption, the suggestion being that the demonstrators are not that dyspeptic about the nature of the Islamic Republic. more...

2nd January 2018 – The New York Times

The Worst Thing for Iran’s Protesters? U.S. Silence

Reuel Marc Gerecht

We are now six days into the Iran protests, and the questions that seized Washington during the 2009 pro-democracy movement have now once again come to the fore. Should the United States try to help Iran’s protesters? Can we help them? more...