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Analysis & Commentary - Tony Badran

Tony Badran's Latest Articles

11th July 2018 – FDD Research

Controlled Chaos: The Escalation of Conflict between Israel and Iran in War-Torn Syria

Tony Badran, Jonathan Schanzer

On the night of February 9, Iran dispatched an armed drone from Syria that penetrated Israeli airspace just south of the Golan Heights. Israel destroyed it with an Apache helicopter. more...

9th July 2018 – Tablet Magazine

Iran’s Two-Front Strategy

Tony Badran

Israel is about to face two active fronts on its borders: One in Gaza, and the other in the Golan Heights. As factions in Gaza fired rockets at Israel, an offensive of the alliance backing the Assad regime was underway in southern Syria, which is likely to reach the Golan soon. more...

18th June 2018 – Tablet Magazine

Lebanese General Bids to Circumvent Congress

Tony Badran

Last Wednesday, the Lebanese press reported that the commander of the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF), Gen. Joseph Aoun, is preparing for an official visit to Washington in the coming few days. According to the Lebanese daily Al-Joumhouria, Gen. Aoun will have a packed schedule of meetings at the Defense Department “to ensure the continuation of American military support.” more...

8th May 2018 – The Washington Times

Where Iran’s terrorist representative is the big winner

Tony Badran, Jonathan Schanzer

Lebanon held its first parliamentary elections since 2009 on Sunday. As expected, Iran’s local representative, the terrorist group Hezbollah, was the big winner. Hezbollah, with help from the Shiite Amal party, have a virtual lock on Shiite representation. And the group has gained other parliamentary allies, granting the Hezbollah bloc a simple majority to advance the group’s dangerous domestic and regional agendas. more...

8th May 2018 – The Washington Times

Where Iran’s terrorist representative is the big winner

Tony Badran, Jonathan Schanzer

Lebanon held its first parliamentary elections since 2009 on Sunday. As expected, Iran’s local representative, the terrorist group Hezbollah, was the big winner. Hezbollah, with help from the Shiite Amal party, have a virtual lock on Shiite representation. And the group has gained other parliamentary allies, granting the Hezbollah bloc a simple majority to advance the group’s dangerous domestic and regional agendas. more...

30th April 2018 – Tablet Magazine

Our Incoherent Lebanon Policy

Tony Badran

State building is the core of US policy in Lebanon. As part of this chimeric policy, now over a decade old, Washington has been throwing hundreds of millions of dollars at Lebanon. The State Department proudly recalled last month at a donor conference for Lebanon in Rome, that in 2017 the US gave the Hezbollah-run country $250 million in assistance, and announced it will complete delivery of more weapons systems to the Hezbollah-aligned Lebanese Armed Forces as part of a $340 million aid package. more...

20th March 2018 – Hoover Institute

Why Offense is the Best Defense Against Russia and Iran in Syria

Tony Badran

In January, the Trump administration unveiled its strategy for Syria. In an address at the Hoover Institution, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson laid out five key objectives, in the process, made clear that the top priority was containing Iran. The US, he said, would deny Iran the “arch” it is building from Tehran to the Mediterranean, and it would prevent Iran from using Syria as a springboard from which to threaten neighboring countries. more...

20th February 2018 – Tablet Magazine

Rex Tillerson Babbles in Beirut While Middle East War Looms

Tony Badran

Sec. of State Rex Tillerson visited Lebanon last Thursday, and let’s just say it wasn’t exactly a shining moment for U.S. diplomacy. Tillerson was made to sit alone in a room with no American flag in sight and wait, as photographers took pictures and video, before Hezbollah’s chief allies in Lebanon’s government, President Michel Aoun and his son-in-law the foreign minister, finally came out to greet him. more...

11th February 2018 – The Wall Street Journal

The Iran-Israel War Flares Up

Jonathan Schanzer, Tony Badran

The conflict between Israel and Iran may be heating up after a half-decade simmer. On Friday night Iran dispatched a drone from Syria that penetrated Israeli airspace in the Golan Heights. Israel destroyed it with an Apache helicopter. more...

12th December 2017 – Hoover Institution

The Limits of the Indirect Approach

Tony Badran

In October 2017, the Trump administration rolled out its long-anticipated policy to counter Iranian expansionism in the region. The policy pays significant attention to Hezbollah, Iran’s principal instrument of regional power projection. After eight years of American courtship of Iran, which drastically elevated its regional position, pushing back against Tehran and its proxies was always going to be a formidable challenge. more...

7th November 2017 – Tablet Magazine

Lebanese PM Sa’ad Hariri Cancels His Deal With the Devil, Leaving Lebanon in the Hands of Iran

Tony Badran

On Saturday, Lebanese prime minister Saad Hariri announced his resignation in a televised speech from Saudi Arabia. In the speech, Hariri cited Iran’s control of Lebanon through Hezbollah as the reason for stepping down. Hezbollah, Hariri said, “has come to control the seams of the state and has the final and decisive say in the affairs of Lebanon and the Lebanese.” more...

27th October 2017 – Tablet Magazine

American Policy in Lebanon Isn’t Policy. It’s Poetry.

Tony Badran

And if we want to get serious about fighting Hezbollah, we should start by insisting on the following benchmarks more...

11th October 2017 – The Cipher Brief

Hezbollah Calls the Shots in Iran’s Syria Policy

Tony Badran

President Donald Trump is reportedly about to extend a terrorism designation to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in its entirety. The IRGC is both the dominant force inside Iran and the instrument through which the Islamic Republic projects power abroad. Operating throughout the region, the IRGC is deeply entrenched in Lebanon; the domain of Hezbollah. more...

25th September 2017 – Tablet Magazine

Unless It Is Changed, UNIFIL’s Mandate Makes It a Boon for Hezbollah

Tony Badran

Nikki Haley is right to insist the UN group in Lebanon undergo some big changes. more...

12th September 2017 – The Cipher Brief

Get Tough on Beirut to Rein in Hezbollah Threat

Tony Badran

Hezbollah – an Iran-backed militia that controls southern Lebanon – boasts a medium-sized army and a whopping arsenal of up to 150,000 rockets and missiles. Since 2011, much of that army has been engaged in Syria supporting the regime of Syrian President Bashar al Assad. While this has thinned Hezbollah’s ranks, it has also given the group valuable field experience and is opening up new routes of military supply to Iran. more...

15th August 2017 – Tablet Magazine

The Pentagon Fills Hezbollah’s Shopping List

Tony Badran

Bradley fighting vehicles, M4 rifles among the American goods that will soon make their way to Lebanon, free of charge. more...

2nd August 2017 – Tablet Magazine

Lebanese PM Saad Hariri Joins With Hezbollah to Con Donald Trump

Tony Badran

Hariri’s visit with Trump was part of a coordinated, multifaceted information campaign to swindle the U.S. government into continuing its military support and extending political cover for the evolving pro-Iran order in Lebanon and Syria. Everyone—Hariri, Hezbollah, the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) and its supporters and publicists in Washington—is in on the con. Everyone benefits—except, of course, the people who continue to suffer and die in the region. more...

26th July 2017 – Tablet Magazine

Lebanon Is Another Name for Hezbollah

Tony Badran

During his joint press conference with Lebanon’s Prime Minister Saad Hariri on Tuesday, President Trump gave expression to the inherent paradox in America’s Lebanon policy. On the one hand, the president voiced appreciation and support for Lebanon and its Armed Forces (LAF) for their supposed “impressive” role in the fight against ISIS and Al-Qaeda. On the other hand, he had strong words for Hezbollah, calling it a menace to the Lebanese state and the entire region and noting its role in fueling the catastrophe in Syria. more...

6th July 2017 – FDD Policy Brief

Lebanon’s New Electoral Law Seeks to Preempt U.S. Sanctions on Hezbollah

Tony Badran

The next Congressional bill imposing sanctions on Hezbollah has not even been introduced, but the Lebanese state has already created loopholes to help the terrorist group circumvent U.S. law. more...

27th June 2017 – Tablet Magazine

Hezbollah’s Environmental Warriors

Tony Badran

After the second Lebanon war in 2006, when the IDF uncovered the elaborate network of underground Hezbollah tunnels and bunkers in southern Lebanon, the Israelis dubbed these fortifications “nature reserves.” more...