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Analysis & Commentary - Tony Badran

Tony Badran's Latest Articles

8th April 2013 – FDD Policy Brief

Challenges Ahead for Lebanon’s Next Prime Minister

Tony Badran

On March 22, the Hezbollah-dominated government of Lebanon collapsed after its Prime Minister, Najib Miqati, resigned. Following consultations with members of parliament, President Michel Suleiman tasked MP Tammam Salam with forming a new government. more...

30th March 2013 – NOW Lebanon

Return to Realism

Tony Badran

Last Friday, Israel’s Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, made a call to his Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, resolving the dispute between the two countries following the 2010 Mavi Marmara incident. more...

22nd March 2013 – FDD Policy Brief

Israeli Leader Apologizes to Turkey for Fatal Ship Raid

Clifford D. May, Jonathan Schanzer, Tony Badran

Apologizing to Turkey should be seen as a concession by Prime Minister Netanyahu to President Obama because escalating tensions between Turkey, a NATO member, and Israel, America’s most reliable... more...

21st March 2013 – NOW Lebanon

The End of Syria

Tony Badran

Last week marked the second year anniversary of the popular uprising in Syria. On its current trajectory, Syria is headed toward geographical fragmentation. As the security situation deteriorates and Washington... more...

7th March 2013 – NOW Lebanon

A Nifty Conceit: the EU, Hezbollah, and Lebanon

Tony Badran

The Hezbollah bus bombing in Bulgaria as well as their foiled operation in Cyprus have put Europe in an uncomfortable position, as pressure increases on the EU to designate Hezbollah as a terrorist organization. more...

28th February 2013 – NOW Lebanon

Iran’s Lebanon Arm

Tony Badran

The recent death of Revolutionary Guards Corps-Quds Force (IRGC-QF) senior officer Hassan Shateri, alias Hessam Khoshnevis, has cast the spotlight on the direct role the IRGC... more...

15th February 2013 – NOW Lebanon

Iran and Israel Fight, Lebanon Loses

Tony Badran

It’s been more than two weeks since the Israeli airstrike in Syria against the arms convoy headed for Hezbollah in Lebanon. Bits of information, coupled with ominous warnings, are coming out from Jerusalem... more...

7th February 2013 – NOW Lebanon

Hollow Praise for the LAF

Tony Badran

On Monday, the US ambassador to Lebanon, Maura Connelly, called the Commander of the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) and expressed condolences for the officers killed or injured in last week’s raid... more...

31st January 2013 – NOW Lebanon

Israel’s Free Hand

Tony Badran

Yesterday, reports emerged of an Israeli airstrike against a truck convoy suspected of carrying “game changing” weapons systems from Syria to Hezbollah in Lebanon. While previous reports had mainly... more...

24th January 2013 – NOW Lebanon

Whose Side is America On?

Tony Badran

In President Barack Obama’s inaugural address marking the start of his second term in office, he dedicated little space to foreign policy. While the president made no specific mention of Iran, he did... more...

17th January 2013 – NOW Lebanon

The Kurds’ Sensitive Juncture

Tony Badran

Last week’s killing in Paris of three female Kurdish activists with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) has spurred much speculation about the party responsible for the assassinations and the purpose... more...

10th January 2013 – NOW Lebanon

Obama’s Flexible Red Lines

Tony Badran

In response to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s latest address, US officials and spokespersons have dismissively described the embattled dictator as someone “detached from reality” and “delusional,”... more...

31st December 2012 – NOW Lebanon

Diplomatic Theater

Tony Badran

If you’ve been following Syria news over the past week, you’d be forgiven for thinking that feverish, Moscow-centered diplomatic activity was on the cusp of producing an agreement for a political... more...

20th December 2012 – NOW Lebanon

A Historic Settlement?

Tony Badran

On Monday, the Hezbollah-aligned al-Akhbar published an interview with Syria’s Vice President Farouq al-Sharaa entitled “Decisive military victory is an illusion. The solution is a historic settlement.” more...

14th December 2012 – NOW Lebanon

Assad’s Chemical Card

Tony Badran

Last week, president Obama issued another warning to Syria’s embattled dictator against making the “tragic mistake” of using chemical weapons (CW). There remain a number of real scenarios in which... more...

22nd November 2012 – NOW Lebanon

Hamas’ Escalation Calculation

Tony Badran

Hamas’ decision to escalate rocket attacks on Israel leading up to the latest conflagration was deliberate. One question remains largely unanswered: What was Hamas’ calculation behind this escalation? more...

21st November 2012 – The Morningside Post

Intervention in Syria

Tony Badran

In the run up to the elections, America’s Middle East allies were convinced that President Obama was too consumed with domestic politics to pursue a more muscular approach to Syria. more...

19th November 2012 – The Jerusalem Post

Ground to a Halt

Tony Badran

It’s been twenty months since the Syrian people rose up against the regime of Bashar Assad. During this time, large swathes of land in northwestern Syria have fallen out of government control. more...

15th November 2012 – NOW Lebanon

Sitting Out the Syria Game

Tony Badran

In the run-up to the US presidential election, Washington’s regional allies were convinced that the Obama administration’s lack of a Syria policy was due to the US president’s preoccupation with securing... more...

1st November 2012 – NOW Lebanon

Obama Runs From Iran

Tony Badran

The Iranian challenge to US interests and allies is the most pressing strategic issue for Washington in the Middle East. With the US election less than a week away, now is as good a time as any to look... more...