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Analysis & Commentary - Bill Roggio

Bill Roggio's Latest Articles

7th May 2015 – The Long War Journal - Co-written by Caleb Weiss

Fighting at Iraq’s Baiji Oil Refinery is ‘Flowing in the Wrong Direction’

Bill Roggio

Security forces based at the country’s largest oil refinery in Baiji are in danger of losing control of the strategic facility, Iraqi officers and US officials have warned. The Islamic State controls large areas inside the refinery and have besieged the remaining Iraqi troops. The Iraqi military and Iranian-backed Shiite militias are moving towards Baiji in an effort to break the siege. more...

6th May 2015 – The Long War Journal

3 Jihadist Groups Merge with Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan

Bill Roggio

Three jihadist groups, including one led by a key commander who has served as a senior leader in al Qaeda and the Lashkar-e-Jhangvi, have united with the Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan. The merger is part of the Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan’s efforts to rebuild itself, likely with the guidance of al Qaeda. The jihadist organization split in 2014 after a contentious leadership dispute that festered when the US killed the group’s former emir, Hakeemullah Mehsud, in a drone strike. more...

5th May 2015 – The Long War Journal - Co-written by Caleb Weiss

Islamic State Details Rout of Brigade 26 Headquarters in Anbar

Bill Roggio

A video released over the past several days by the Islamic State details the scale of last month’s rout of the Iraqi Army’s 26 Brigade headquarters in the Thar Thar area of Anbar province. more...

3rd May 2015 – The Long War Journal

Muqtada al Sadr Threatens to ‘Unfreeze the Military Wing,’ Attack US Interests

Bill Roggio

Radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al Sadr threatened to attack US personnel inside Iraq and beyond if the US House of Representatives passed a bill that would have recognized Kurdistan and Sunnis in western Iraq as their own independent countries. more...

1st May 2015 – The Long War Journal

Taliban Touts Success in Kunduz Offensive

Bill Roggio

The Taliban released a video today titled “Kunduz and Renewed Resolve” that shows its fighters in control of Afghan security forces’ outposts, captured security personnel, and vehicles and weapons seized during the fighting. The title of the video is a play on the the name of the Taliban’s newly-launched spring offensive, which is called Azm and means resolve or determination. more...

1st May 2015 – The Long War Journal

Islamic State Beheads, Shoots 15 Yemeni Soldiers

Bill Roggio

The Islamic State in Yemen claimed credit for the brutal execution of 15 Yemeni soldiers who were captured in the city of Azzan in Shabwa province earlier this month. The treatment of the captured soldiers by the Islamic State presents a stark contrast to Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula’s (AQAP) handling of captured Yemeni soldiers. more...

28th April 2015 – The Long War Journal

Islamic State Promotes Training Camp in Eastern Afghanistan

Bill Roggio

Three photographs of the “Ustad Yasir” camp were obtained by journalist Saleem Mehsud and published on his Twitter account on April 18. The images were emailed to the Pakistani reporter, Mehsud told The Long War Journal. more...

27th April 2015 – The Long War Journal

Taliban Launch Offensive in Northern Afghan Province

Bill Roggio

Thousands of Taliban fighters attacked Afghan forces in the northern province of Kunduz in an effort to seize control of the provincial capital and outlying districts. more...

26th April 2015 – The Long War Journal

Islamic State Captures Dam, Overruns Base in Western Iraq

Bill Roggio

The Islamic State seized control of a dam and overran a military barracks in the Thar Thar area in western Iraq over the past several days. more...

22nd April 2015 – The Long War Journal

Afghan Taliban Announces New ‘Spring Operations’

Bill Roggio

The Afghan Taliban announced today that this year’s “spring operations” will begin on April 24, and, like previous years, the main targets will be the “foreign occupiers” and “the stooge regime,” or Afghan government. more...

21st April 2015 – The Long War Journal

Taliban Admit to Beheading Afghan Soliders “In Revenge”

Bill Roggio

The Taliban admitted that its fighters beheaded seven Afghan soldiers during clashes last week in the northeastern province of Badakhshan. The Taliban acknowledged that the beheadings are “contradictory to rules of engagement” but then justified the gruesome acts as revenge for Afghan soldiers mutilating Taliban fighters. more...

19th April 2015 – The Long War Journal

Russian Troops Kill Leader of Islamic Caucasus Emirate

Bill Roggio, Thomas Joscelyn

Russian security forces killed Ali Abu Muhammad al Dagestani, the emir of the al Qaeda-affiliated Islamic Caucasus Emirate, during a special operations raid in the Russian Republic of Dagestan today. Since taking command of the Islamic Caucasus Emirate (ICE) in 2014, Dagestani has supported al Qaeda and opposed the establishment of the rival Islamic State. more...

18th April 2015 – The Long War Journal

Pakistani Taliban Promotes ‘Muhajideen Special Group,’ Training Camp

Bill Roggio

The video, titled “MSG Training,” was released on April 17 by Umar Media, the official propaganda arm of the Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan. The footage was posted on Umar Media’s website as well as emailed to The Long War Journal by the group’s spokesman, Muhammad Khurasani. more...

17th April 2015 – The Long War Journal

Hezbollah Brigades Deploys Fighters to Ramadi

Bill Roggio

Hezbollah Brigades, a US-designated Foreign Terrorist Organization, is deploying forces to the western provincial capital of Ramadi to fight off an Islamic State offensive. The Iranian-backed Shiite militia continues to promote past attacks against US forces on its official website. more...

15th April 2015 – The Long War Journal

Pakistani Taliban Praises Slain Al Qaeda Leaders

Bill Roggio

The statement highlights the close working relationship between al Qaeda and the Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan, and al Qaeda's influence over the fellow jihadist group. more...

14th April 2015 – The Long War Journal

AQAP Announces Death of Sharia Official in US Drone Strike

Bill Roggio, Thomas Joscelyn

Al Qaeda announced the death of sharia official Ibrahim Suleiman al Rubaish, who was killed in a drone strikein eastern Yemen. Rubaish is a former detainee at Guantanamo Bay who also served as an operational planner for the jihadist group. more...

14th April 2015 – The Long War Journal

Islamic State Overruns Iraqi Army Headquarters Near Thar Thar

Bill Roggio

The Islamic State overran the headquarters of an Iraqi Army brigade stationed in the Thar Thar area northwest of Baghdad two days ago. The suicide assault marks the second time that the jihadist group has taken over an Iraqi military headquarters in the region in two months. more...

13th April 2015 – The Long War Journal - Co-written by Caleb Weiss

Islamic State Assaults Baiji Oil Refinery

Bill Roggio

Islamic State fighters penetrated the perimeter of the Baiji oil refinery complex, the largest in Iraq, after a suicide bomber thought to be from Afghanistan or Pakistan detonated outside the main gate. more...

13th April 2015 – The Long War Journal

US Drone Strike Kills Four in Taliban, al Qaeda Haven

Bill Roggio

The US killed four fighters loyal to a jihadist commander who split from the Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan last year in a drone strike in South Waziristan yesterday. The airstrike took place the same day that al Qaeda’s regional branch announced the death of two senior commanders and noted that more than 50 of the jihadist group’s operatives have been killed since last summer. more...

12th April 2015 – The Long War Journal

US Killed AQIS Deputy Emir, Shura Member in January Drone Strikes

Bill Roggio, Thomas Joscelyn

Al Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent confirmed that deputy emir Ustad Ahmad Farooq and shura member Qari ‘Imran were killed in separate strikes in January. Farooq was identified in Osama bin Laden's documents as an up and coming al Qaeda leader. more...