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Analysis & Commentary - Emanuele Ottolenghi

Emanuele Ottolenghi's Latest Articles

6th July 2015 – Business Insider

Iran’s Regime Knows ‘Snapback Sanctions’ Aren’t Going to Be Able to Stop it From Going Nuclear

Saeed Ghasseminejad, Emanuele Ottolenghi

As world powers prepare to finalize a nuclear deal with Iran, European businesses are gearing up for a swift re-entry into the Islamic Republic. The potentially impending deal will open Iran — one of the world’s last large untapped emerging markets — to foreign investment and trade. more...

1st July 2015 – The Tower Magazine

The Central Pillar Supporting the Iran Deal Has a Big Crack In It

Emanuele Ottolenghi

If the emerging deal is “not based on trust,” as John Kerry says, then it has to be based on the credible threat of re-imposed sanctions. And that’s a huge problem. more...

1st July 2015 – Tablet

Snap-Back: A Journey Through Iranian Sanctions Evasion in Georgia

Emanuele Ottolenghi

The fantasy is that sanctions halt economies. The reality is that enforcement requires tedious bookkeeping, painstaking forensic work, and the ability to stay a step ahead of experienced middlemen. more...

28th June 2015 – Standpoint

The Grand Illusion

Emanuele Ottolenghi

The Middle East as maps still show it in atlases and globes, schoolbooks and Foreign Office corridors, no longer exists. It has vanished under our noses in less than five years. The consequences range from the serious to the disastrous. Yet Western policymakers still act as if they could put Humpty Dumpty together again. Here’s a guide to what is wrong and what should be fixed in Western foreign policy. more...

20th May 2015 – The National Interest

Who Really Controls Iran’s Economy?

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

The looming nuclear deal will soon unshackle Iran’s economy from the burden of Western sanctions. Who stands to benefit from this opening? more...

18th May 2015 – Tablet

Why the Iran Nuclear Deal Could be Catastrophic for Israel

Emanuele Ottolenghi

In a recent issue of National Interest, former CIA analyst Paul Pillar lamented “the near-obligatory reference to Nazis in any anti-agreement writing about Iran.” The comparison, he argues, is “an emotion-based effort to foster distaste for doing any business with such an ogre-like regime,” which exaggerates the regime’s sinister disposition at a moment when it is showing a clear desire to become “a more integrated member of the international community.” more...

29th April 2015 – Standpoint

The President Blinked - The Ayatollah Didn’t

Emanuele Ottolenghi

The day after President Barack Obama withdrew his threat to veto legislation that gives Congress a say over a looming Iran nuclear deal, the Daily Beast ran the headline “Obama Blinks on Iran Nuke Vote.” The Iran deal may turn out to be the signature foreign policy legacy of his presidency. Why then, given the importance the president attaches to the deal, did he give up his fight with Congress? more...

29th April 2015 – Business Insider

The Iranian ‘Deep State’ is Trying to Buy an Oil Refinery in Switzerland

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

Iranians hit the streets earlier this month to celebrate a nuclear framework agreement that they hope will remove the international sanctions that have crippled their country’s economy for over a decade. more...

13th April 2015 – FDD Policy Brief

Khamenei’s Choice to Head Powerful Charity Bolsters the IRGC

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei appointed Parviz Fattah as the new head of the Imam Khomeini Relief Foundation (IKRF) last weekend. more...

8th April 2015 – The Jewish Chronicle

Iran Agreement: Tehran Gives the V-Sign

Emanuele Ottolenghi

If it is implemented, the preliminary framework for a deal over Iran's nuclear programme, agreed on last week in Lausanne, will be a great victory for the Islamic Republic and its aspirations. more...

2nd April 2015 – Washington Examiner

Iran nuclear deal an abject capitulation

Emanuele Ottolenghi

The Iran nuclear deal announced Thursday in Lausanne, Switzerland, is an abject capitulation of Western interests and a sure pathway to a cascade of nuclear proliferation in the Middle East. more...

27th March 2015 – FDD Policy Brief

Iran sanctions relief sparks growing trade with Europe, Asia

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

The Obama administration insists that the November 2013 interim nuclear deal with Iran provides only “limited” financial relief to the Islamic Republic. more...

26th March 2015 – Standpoint Magazine

Fait Pas Accompli

Emanuele Ottolenghi

How bad is the nuclear deal the Obama administration is negotiating with Iran? The American public would not know the answer, had it not been for the speech that Israel’s prime minister, Binyamin Netanyahu, delivered to a joint session of the US Congress on March 3. more...

25th March 2015 – Business Insider

The Sanctions on Iran Are Already Falling Apart

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

The Obama administration insists that the November 2013 interim nuclear deal with Iran gave Tehran’s economy only limited sanctions relief and that it can respond to Iranian misbehavior by snapping back sanctions at any time in. more...

16th March 2015 – The National Interest

A House Undivided: Israel’s New Consensus Politics

Emanuele Ottolenghi

Israelis go to the polls on March 17, and in a time-honored tradition, international pundits are hoping for a political earthquake. This ballot, they say, will finally and completely determine whether Israel ever makes peace with the Palestinians, whether its inter-communal tension will devolve into civil war and whether it can stop an Iranian nuclear bomb before it is too late. more...

26th February 2015 – The Jewish Chronicle

What Evidence? Guardian Presents Dodgy Dossier on Iran’s Bomb Project

Emanuele Ottolenghi

The Guardian and al Jazeera were handed another treasure trove of leaked intelligence files this week, purportedly from a South African intelligence source. The documents include dossiers allegedly supplied by Mossad to its South African counterpart. more...

25th February 2015 – Standpoint

Belittling Anti-Semitism

Emanuele Ottolenghi

The pan-European response to the slaughter of four Jews at a Parisian kosher supermarket in January was commendable. more...

20th February 2015 – Forbes

Why The U.S. Can’t Trust Iran And Its Nuclear Plans

Emanuele Ottolenghi

The Obama Administration insists Iran has honored its interim nuclear-agreement commitments and that its progress in enrichment has been halted. more...

6th February 2015 – The Daily Caller

Obama Misses The Point Of Iran Sanctions

Emanuele Ottolenghi

In his State of the Union address last month, President Obama reiterated his threat to veto legislation that would trigger new sanctions if diplomacy over Iran’s nuclear program runs aground. more...

29th January 2015 – Business Insider

Iran’s History Of Nuclear Deceit Is Why There Hasn’t Been A Deal Yet

Emanuele Ottolenghi

In his State of the Union last week, President Barack Obama warned Congress that the threat of new sanctions on Iran would “all but guarantee that diplomacy fails – alienating America from its allies; and ensuring that Iran starts up its nuclear program again.” more...