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Analysis & Commentary - Emanuele Ottolenghi

Emanuele Ottolenghi's Latest Articles

13th August 2015 – FDD Policy Brief

The Iran Deal Rewards Airlines that Served as IRGC Terror Fronts

Emanuele Ottolenghi

Between 2011 and 2013, the U.S. Department of Treasury designated five of the seventeen airlines currently operating in Iran for their support to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC). more...

13th August 2015 – FDD Policy Brief

The IRGC’s Sanctions Relief Bonanza

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

The European Union is slated to delist the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), its commanders, and dozens of its commercial entities within the next eight years, pursuant to the nuclear deal. Washington has downplayed this, noting that the agreement only grants relief for nuclear-related sanctions, and that the IRGC will benefit minimally if at all, noting that IRGC entities will remain under U.S. sanctions even after the EU has delisted them. more...

4th August 2015 – The Weekly Standard

Obama’s Gift to the Ayatollah

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA, signed this month by the six world powers with Iran lifts a UN arms embargo by 2020, sanctions against Iran’s ballistic missile program by 2023, most nuclear restrictions by 2025, and a cap on low-enriched uranium stockpile by 2030. more...

30th July 2015 – The Tower Magazine

Gold Rush: The Dismantling of the Sanctions Regime Against Iran

Emanuele Ottolenghi

With most sanctions scheduled to be lifted on Implementation Day of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the deal signed in Vienna by Iran with the six world powers charged with negotiating over its nuclear program will inaugurate the rapid revival of Iran’s economy. more...

27th July 2015 – The Hill Times

Canada Is Right Not To Lift Iran Sanctions Prematurely

Emanuele Ottolenghi

The nuclear deal that six world powers signed with Iran earlier this month will soon remove most international sanctions in exchange for Iran’s acceptance of long-term restrictions on its nuclear program. more...

27th July 2015 – FDD Policy Brief

Under Iran Agreement, U.S. Will Delist All Entities Controlled by Supreme Leader

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

Of all the sanctions to be lifted in last week’s Iran nuclear agreement, few are more significant than those against a shadowy $100-billion network of foundations belonging to the Islamic Republic’s supreme leader, Ali Khamenei. more...

25th July 2015 – Business Insider

The Nuclear Deal Gives a Dangerous Amount of Atomic Expertise to Iran

Emanuele Ottolenghi

The nuclear deal that the six world powers signed with Iran last week commits the United States to eventually removing a ban on Iranian graduate students applying for advanced degrees in nuclear sciences at American universities. more...

19th July 2015 – The Sunday Times

Obama Has One Aim: Making Friends With the Mullahs

Emanuele Ottolenghi

Iran's nuclear arsenal will have to wait a decade. But with the signing of a nuclear deal in Vienna, the road is open for Tehran to rule the Middle East. more...

17th July 2015 – FDD Policy Brief

The Nuclear Deal’s Impact on Iran’s Revolutionary Guards

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

One of the foremost beneficiaries of the Iran nuclear deal signed this week is the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), the militia-cum-business empire whose clout has grown exponentially over the last decade and now controls at least one-sixth of the Iranian economy. more...

12th July 2015 – The Canberra Times

Iran’s Very Active Posture Against IS in Iraq Finds No Match in Syria

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

Since her return from Tehran in April, Foreign Minister Julie Bishop has argued that Iran can be a reliable partner in the fight against Islamic State in Syria and Iraq. At the Paris talks this month she called for Iran to be included in the coalition fighting IS. more...

12th July 2015 – The Jerusalem Post

In Iran We Trust? Illegal Purchases of Nuclear Weapons Technology continued to June ‘15

Benjamin Weinthal, Emanuele Ottolenghi

Can Iran be trusted to uphold the nuclear deal being finalized in Vienna? Can the Obama administration its partners in the P5+1 be trusted to hold Iran’s feet to the fire in case of violations? more...

10th July 2015 – The Weekly Standard

Iran Made Illegal Purchases of Nuclear Weapons Technology Last Month

Benjamin Weinthal, Emanuele Ottolenghi

The question is not whether Iran can be trusted to uphold the nuclear deal now being negotiated in Vienna (it can’t), but whether the Obama administration and its P5+1 partners can be trusted to punish Iran when it violates the agreement? more...

6th July 2015 – Business Insider

Iran’s Regime Knows ‘Snapback Sanctions’ Aren’t Going to Be Able to Stop it From Going Nuclear

Saeed Ghasseminejad, Emanuele Ottolenghi

As world powers prepare to finalize a nuclear deal with Iran, European businesses are gearing up for a swift re-entry into the Islamic Republic. The potentially impending deal will open Iran — one of the world’s last large untapped emerging markets — to foreign investment and trade. more...

1st July 2015 – The Tower Magazine

The Central Pillar Supporting the Iran Deal Has a Big Crack In It

Emanuele Ottolenghi

If the emerging deal is “not based on trust,” as John Kerry says, then it has to be based on the credible threat of re-imposed sanctions. And that’s a huge problem. more...

1st July 2015 – Tablet

Snap-Back: A Journey Through Iranian Sanctions Evasion in Georgia

Emanuele Ottolenghi

The fantasy is that sanctions halt economies. The reality is that enforcement requires tedious bookkeeping, painstaking forensic work, and the ability to stay a step ahead of experienced middlemen. more...

28th June 2015 – Standpoint

The Grand Illusion

Emanuele Ottolenghi

The Middle East as maps still show it in atlases and globes, schoolbooks and Foreign Office corridors, no longer exists. It has vanished under our noses in less than five years. The consequences range from the serious to the disastrous. Yet Western policymakers still act as if they could put Humpty Dumpty together again. Here’s a guide to what is wrong and what should be fixed in Western foreign policy. more...

20th May 2015 – The National Interest

Who Really Controls Iran’s Economy?

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

The looming nuclear deal will soon unshackle Iran’s economy from the burden of Western sanctions. Who stands to benefit from this opening? more...

18th May 2015 – Tablet

Why the Iran Nuclear Deal Could be Catastrophic for Israel

Emanuele Ottolenghi

In a recent issue of National Interest, former CIA analyst Paul Pillar lamented “the near-obligatory reference to Nazis in any anti-agreement writing about Iran.” The comparison, he argues, is “an emotion-based effort to foster distaste for doing any business with such an ogre-like regime,” which exaggerates the regime’s sinister disposition at a moment when it is showing a clear desire to become “a more integrated member of the international community.” more...

29th April 2015 – Standpoint

The President Blinked - The Ayatollah Didn’t

Emanuele Ottolenghi

The day after President Barack Obama withdrew his threat to veto legislation that gives Congress a say over a looming Iran nuclear deal, the Daily Beast ran the headline “Obama Blinks on Iran Nuke Vote.” The Iran deal may turn out to be the signature foreign policy legacy of his presidency. Why then, given the importance the president attaches to the deal, did he give up his fight with Congress? more...

29th April 2015 – Business Insider

The Iranian ‘Deep State’ is Trying to Buy an Oil Refinery in Switzerland

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Saeed Ghasseminejad

Iranians hit the streets earlier this month to celebrate a nuclear framework agreement that they hope will remove the international sanctions that have crippled their country’s economy for over a decade. more...