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Analysis & Commentary - Tony Badran

Tony Badran's Latest Mentions

11th July 2018 – Quoted by The Tower

Expert: Iran is Fueling Israel’s Conflict with Hamas to Protect its Proxies in Syria

Tony Badran

Iran has been seeking to escalate tensions along Israel’s southern border with Gaza, with the goal of “deterring” Israel from taking decisive action either in its north or south, an expert on Lebanon argued in an essay published Monday in Tablet. more...

17th June 2018 – Quoted by James Snell - The Arab Weekly

Iranian militias and Syrian forces become indivisible as assault on Daraa looms

Tony Badran

Iranian support for Syrian President Bashar Assad is long standing. Much of that support has been through Iran’s proxies and allied militias. Some of these, such as the Lebanese group Hezbollah, have contributed thousands of men who have fought in Syria on the side of the regime. more...

4th June 2018 – Quoted by Eli Lake - Bloomberg

Congress Forces Pentagon to Come Clean on Aid to Lebanon

Tony Badran

Last month, following the first Lebanese elections since 2009, Israel's defense minister made a grave observation. Speaking at an annual conference in Herzliya, Avigdor Lieberman said that Hezbollah – the Iran-backed militia, political party and terror group – had effectively taken control of the state. more...

30th May 2018 – Quoted by Kyle Orton - The Arab Weekly

Rumours of an Iranian-Russian split over Syria little more than a Western chimaera

Tony Badran

There have been renewed claims that Russia and Iran, while both supporting Bashar Assad’s regime, have such differences in vision and interest in Syria that there is a schism Western policymakers can take advantage of. more...

8th May 2018 – Quoted by Liel Leibovitz - Tablet Magazine

Getting the Story Right on Lebanon

Tony Badran

We judgmental jerks of the press are often quick to squawk whenever some opinionated expert fails to accurately predict the future, which is why so much of the press coverage following Donald Trump’s election focused on why so much of the press coverage failed to foresee Donald Trump’s election. more...

8th May 2018 – Quoted by Benny Avni - The New York Post

Keep killing off Obama’s foreign policy, Mr. President

Tony Badran

Withdrawing from the Iran deal, as President Trump announced Tuesday, is a good first step toward reining in the Islamic Republic’s regional mischief. But there’s plenty more to do, as Lebanon proved this week. more...

25th April 2018 – Quoted by Levi Maxey - The Cipher Brief

The Strategic Risks of Inaction on Syria’s Chemical Weapons

Tony Badran

Syria’s chemical weapons program not only contributes to a tragic humanitarian situation, but its uninhibited use and maintenance creates strategic implications for the West and Israel. more...

19th April 2018 – Quoted by Adam Kredo - The Washington Free Beacon

U.S. Personnel Embedded With Lebanese Forces, Raising Concern Of Hezbollah Penetration

Tony Badran

A senior U.S. official disclosed this week that American personnel have been stationed in the Lebanese Armed Forces, or LAF, a contested fighting force that is closely aligned with the Iranian-backed terror group Hezbollah, according to testimony this week that has caused alarm in Congress and with regional experts. more...

18th April 2018 – Quoted by Alex Lockie - Business Insider

Israel sees an Iranian ‘air force’ assembling in Syria — and looks ready to deal it a knockout blow

Tony Badran, Jonathan Schanzer

Israel's military on Tuesday apparently let leak a series of news reports indicating that it sees an Iranian air force forming in Syria and hinting that it may be willing to deal it a knockout blow. more...

14th April 2018 – Quoted by Pilar Cebrian - El Confidencial

Assad ya ha ganado la guerra: el ataque de Trump deja intacto al régimen de Damasco

Tony Badran

"¡Misión Cumplida! (La intervención militar) no podría haber tenido mejores resultados". Es el tuit triunfal del presidente Donald Trump horas después de la operación en Siria liderada por Estados Unidos en coordinación con Francia y Reino Unido. Un ataque con un blanco exclusivamente militar, según los propios líderes de la intervención, "que no persigue un cambio de régimen (en Siria)" y que deja intacto al Gobierno de Bashar al Assad. more...

4th April 2018 – Quoted by Pilar Cebrian - El Confidencial

¿Es invencible la presencia militar estadounidense en Siria?

Tony Badran

Fue una tentativa para tomar la planta de gas Conoco en la fructífera región siria de Deir ez Zor. La noche del 7 de febrero, cientos de tropas aliadas al régimen sirio atacaron una posición del ejército estadounidense en el norte del país. En respuesta, “la Coalición condujo bombardeos aéreos contra las fuerzas atacantes con el fin de repeler la agresión”, confirmó el mando central (CETCOM) en un comunicado. El contraataque dejó al menos 100 combatientes muertos, entre los que había varios mercenarios de Rusia, en el enfrentamiento más grave que ha tenido lugar entre Washington y Moscú desde la Guerra Fría. more...

21st March 2018 – Quoted by Elliott Abrams - Council on Foreign Relations

What’s Next For Lebanon? Stability and Security Challenges

Tony Badran


19th March 2018 – Quoted by Alex Lockie - Business Insider

Why Russia, Assad, and Iran combined don’t stand a chance against just 2,000 US troops in Syria

Tony Badran

Since the US-led effort against the Islamic State has reclaimed almost all of the terrorist group's territory in Syria, 2,000 or so US forces remain in control of the country's rich oil fields. more...

14th March 2018 – Quoted by Adam Turner - Newsmax

The US Shouldn’t Be Funding Hezbollah

Tony Badran

On a trip to Lebanon, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson had some harsh words for Hezbollah, the terror organization that Lebanon’s prime minister is reported to have said is so powerful that it can’t be controlled or confronted by the government. more...

27th February 2018 – Quoted by Owen Kirby - The Hill

Working with Hezbollah: The elephant in US-Lebanon policy

Tony Badran

For a brief moment, the secretary of State appeared ready to challenge the status quo. But it was not meant to be. On a whirlwind tour of the Middle East this month, it seemed that Secretary Tillerson’s every word faced critical parsing back home. In the region, on the hand, things went according to plans, for the most part: long standing alliances were reinforced, international priorities reiterated, and core U.S. interests reconfirmed. more...

26th February 2018 – Quoted by Ari Lieberman - Frontpage Magazine

Obama’s Shadow Looms Over US Lebanon Policy

Tony Badran

Early this week, Lebanon’s top army commander, Joseph Aoun, threatened to “confront any Israeli aggression, whatever that costs.” Aoun was referring to Lebanon’s contrived maritime and land border disputes with Israel. Aoun further noted that the Lebanese Armed Forces “would not spare any method” in challenging Israel. With those words, Aoun signed the LAF’s death warrant. more...

21st February 2018 – Quoted by The Tower

Expert: U.S. Miscalculations in Lebanon Strengthen Iran, Hezbollah Threats against Israel

Tony Badran

Missteps made by Secretary of State Rex Tillerson on his visit to Lebanon last week have helped “in securing an Iranian realm on Israel’s border,” an expert in Lebanese affairs wrote in an analysis published Tuesday in Tablet magazine. more...

19th February 2018 – Quoted by Benny Avni - New York Post

No, America: Lebanon is not your friend

Tony Badran

Is Lebanon America’s friend? The Trump administration, like its predecessors, wrongfully believes it can be. more...

18th February 2018 – Quoted by Michael Peck - The National Interest

Lebanon: Russia’s New Outpost in the Middle East?

Tony Badran

After gaining naval and air bases in Syria, Russia may now be setting its sights on Lebanon. Russian prime minister Dmitry Medvedev has ordered Russia's Defense Ministry to seek a military cooperation agreement with Lebanon. more...

15th February 2018 – Quoted by Jenna Lifhits - The Weekly Standard

Tillerson Was Not Claiming That Hezbollah Was a Legitimate Actor in the Lebanese Government

Tony Badran

The State Department is denying that Secretary of State Rex Tillerson on Wednesday described Hezbollah as a legitimate actor in the Lebanese government, after the secretary’s comments drew harsh criticism from regional experts. more...