Analysis & Commentary

27th August 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Afghan forces cede Faryab district to the Taliban

Bill Roggio

Afghan security forces ceded control of the district of Ghormach in Faryab province after being besieged by the Taliban. The Afghan military’s weak grip on remote areas of the country forced the government to punt again on another district.

16th August 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Islamic State claims deadly school bombing in Kabul

Thomas Joscelyn

The Islamic State has claimed responsibility for a suicide bombing at a school in Kabul yesterday. The group’s Amaq News Agency first issued a short statement on the attack. The so-called caliphate’s media team then produced a second, longer message, claiming that 200 Shiites from...

15th August 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban overruns another base in north as it withdraws from Ghazni City

Bill Roggio

As its forces pulled out from Ghazni City after a five-day stranglehold, the Taliban killed 45 Afghan security personnel in an attack on a military base in the northern province of Baghlan last night on the way out. The Taliban never slowed in launching numerous attacks across the country...

13th August 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Video from Ghazni City shows Taliban on streets as buildings ablaze

Bill Roggio

Meanwhile, Resolute Support continues its claim Ghazni City is under Afghan control and uses Taliban body counts as a measure of success.

13th August 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban seizes second district in Ghazni as provincial capital remains contested

Bill Roggio

The current fighting in and around Ghazni City indicates that the Taliban has a detailed plan to tie up Afghan forces while attempting to seize the provincial capital. Additionally, the Taliban was able to mass its forces undetected; the Afghan military was clearly caught off guard and is...

13th August 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Foreign fighters involved in assault on Ghazni, Afghan defense minister says

Thomas Joscelyn

Al Qaeda has long operated in Ghazni province, the site of a large-scale Taliban offensive in recent days. In 2010, Osama bin Laden ordered his men to relocate from northern Pakistan into Ghazni and other Afghan provinces. Bin Laden's lieutenant also wrote in mid-2010 that al Qaeda had "very...

12th August 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban routs Afghan Commandos while overrunning remote district in Ghazni

Bill Roggio

Between 40 and 100 Afghan Army Commandos are reported to have been killed as the Taliban overran Ajristan district in Ghazni province. As the Taliban overran Ajristan, battled for control of Ghazni City, and cut off the Kabul-Kandahar highway, it has demonstrated that it is able to...

12th August 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Ghazni City remains under assault, despite RS assurances

Bill Roggio

Resolute Support initially described the attack on Ghazni City as a "failed attempt" that would be used by the press to generate sensational headlines. Two days later, Afghan forces are still battling entrenched Taliban fighters inside the city, and the vital Kabul-Kandahar remains severed....

10th August 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Ghazni City up for grabs after coordinated Taliban assault

Bill Roggio

Both the Afghan government (and Resolute Support) and the Taliban claim they control the city. The Afghan government and Resolute Support have proven unreliable in the past when it denied that the Taliban twice took control of Kunduz City, as well as Farah City earlier this year.

7th August 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Afghan forces target al Qaeda commanders in Helmand and Nangarhar

Bill Roggio

The raids in Helmand and Nangarhar indicate that al Qaeda's leaders are not focused on its survival. Al Mesri was focused on manufacturing IEDs to support the Taliban's insurgency in Helmand, while Rahmatullah and his cohorts were operating in Nangarhar's provincial capital.

5th August 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban suicide bomber kills 3 Czech soldiers

Bill Roggio

The Taliban remains active in Parwan, where it contested five of the provinces 10 districts. One American and two Afghan soldiers were also wounded in the suicide attack.

4th June 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Suicide bomber strikes religious conference in Kabul

Thomas Joscelyn

A suicide bomber struck a meeting of the Afghan Ulema Council (AUC) in Kabul earlier today. The Taliban's spokesman denied that his group had any connection to the attack. However, the Islamic State claimed responsibility via its Amaq News Agency, which released two short messages on the...

3rd June 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban operations span the entire country, Afghan Interior Ministry confirms

Bill Roggio

The Taliban are operating in all regions of Afghanistan and casualties among Afghan police have increased, according to the Ministry of Interior. This directly contradicts overly optimistic assessments by both Resolute Support and the Pentagon.

2nd June 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban says negotiations are ‘pointless’ as long as coalition forces occupy Afghanistan

Bill Roggio

"Talking to impotent parties [the Afghan government] during the presence of occupying forces is pointless," Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid said in an official statement released on Voice of Jihad.

31st May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban and Islamic State target religious opponents in Afghanistan

Thomas Joscelyn

According to a State Department report published this week, the Taliban continues "to assassinate and threaten religious leaders with death for preaching messages contrary to" its "interpretation of Islam or its political agenda.” As part of its widespread assassination campaign, Taliban...

30th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Jihadists attack Afghan interior ministry in Kabul

Thomas Joscelyn

A team of jihadists assaulted Afghanistan's Ministry of Interior in Kabul earlier today. It is the latest in a string of attacks inside the Afghan capital this year. Both the Taliban and the Islamic State's Khorasan "province" are able to hit targets inside the city.

29th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Afghan forces withdraw from district center in Uruzgan as the Taliban attacks

Bill Roggio

The security situation in the south continues to deteriorate. An Afghan official admitted security forces abandoned the governor's compound and police headquarters in Chora district. The Taliban claims it overran all 17 security outposts and controls the district center.

27th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban suicide bomber hits Afghan forces in Helmand

Bill Roggio

The Taliban claimed it killed more than 100 Afghan soldiers, policemen, and tribal fighters, while one Afghan official admitted 17 soldiers were killed and 21 more were wounded.

24th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

US strike hits Taliban ‘command and control node’ in Helmand

Bill Roggio

The Taliban denied that a command center was hit and claimed two civilian homes were destroyed in the strike.

23rd May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

New reports from Afghanistan give false hopes for peace

Bill Roggio

As US, European, and Afghan officials cling to the idea that the Taliban will negotiate a peace settlement to end the war in Afghanistan, a recent string of news articles would lead you to believe that the Taliban is actually willing to reach a compromise. However, these stories are...


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