Analysis & Commentary


10th January 2017 - FDD Policy Brief

Iran Stockpiling Uranium Far Above Current Needs

Olli Heinonen

In a televised speech on January 1, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said that Tehran had imported 200 metric tons of yellowcake uranium and would import another 120 tons at an unspecified future date.

1st December 2016 - Quoted by The Tower

Former IAEA Deputy Director Criticizes Nuclear Agency’s Iran Investigations

Olli Heinonen

The former deputy director-general of the International Atomic Energy Agency has criticized the agency for “reduc[ing] the level of transparency and details in its reporting” on Iran’s nuclear program, making it “practically impossible” to confirm that Iran is complying with the...

28th November 2016 - FDD Research Memo

Concerns about a Reduction of Transparency in IAEA Reporting on Iran’s Nuclear Program

Olli Heinonen

While the U.S. administration maintains that Iran has thus far complied with the nuclear deal, the recent International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) report indicates that for the second time, Iran has exceeded the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action’s (JCPOA) limit for its inventory of heavy...

28th November 2016 - Quoted by Barney Breen-Portnoy - The Algemeiner

Iran Analyst: Top Tehran Regime Officials Trying to ‘Blackmail’ US Into Making Further Concessions

Behnam Ben Taleblu

Top Iranian officials — including Ayatollah Ali Khamenei — are currently seeking to test President Barack Obama and President-elect Donald Trump and extract further concessions from the US, an expert on the Islamic Republic told The Algemeiner on Monday.

14th November 2016 - Quoted by Sean Savage - JNS.org

Will Donald Trump fire the Iran nuclear deal?

Behnam Ben Taleblu

The election victory by Donald Trump, a billionaire businessman who has never held political office and is a neophyte on foreign policy, has left many observers wondering about the future direction of U.S. policy abroad.

18th September 2016 - The Cipher Brief

Don’t Rely on Iran’s Good Intentions

Olli Heinonen

There is a small window of time for the United States and its allies to determine what kind of nuclear technologies are delivered to Tehran, and by whom. And the clock is already ticking.

29th July 2016 - FDD Research

Iran’s Breakout Time Drops Below Administration Benchmarks

Olli Heinonen

Iran plans to manufacture and install additional advanced centrifuges at its Natanz facility in about 10 years, substantially boosting the country’s uranium-enrichment capability, according to a confidential document leaked last week by the Associated Press.

29th July 2016 - Jewish Journal

One year on, the Iran deal is still bad

Emanuele Ottolenghi, Annie Fixler

A decade of nuclear negotiations with Iran were meant to prevent Tehran from developing nuclear weapons, force Iran to reveal its past clandestine activities and impose permanent restrictions on Iran’s civil nuclear program.

13th July 2016 - Quoted by Teresa Welsh - McClatchy DC

One year later, Iran obeying nuclear deal, despite early doubts

Mark Dubowitz

One year after major world powers reached a historic nuclear deal with Iran, that country has largely kept up its end of the bargain but Tehran has complained it has not experienced the financial boost it hoped to receive.

13th July 2016 - Quoted by Carol Morello - The Washington Post

Assessing the Iran nuclear deal one year after it was reached

Mark Dubowitz

Shortly after the Iran nuclear deal was reached last year, President Obama swung by the State Department to personally thank the negotiators.

1st July 2016 - FDD Research

Uranium Particles at Parchin Indicate Possible Undeclared Iranian Nuclear Activities

Olli Heinonen

On December 2, 2015, the IAEA issued its assessment on past and present outstanding issues related to Iran’s nuclear program and its Possible Military Dimensions (PMD).

27th June 2016 - FDD Research

EU-Iran Nuclear Cooperation: The Case for Stronger Safety and Nonproliferation Standards

Olli Heinonen

The constraints imposed on Iran’s activities under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) curb Tehran’s nuclear program for eight to 15 years. The key restrictions on the program, however, disappear over time, leaving Tehran with an industrial-size nuclear program with near-zero...

27th June 2016 - FDD Research

Legitimizing Iran’s Nuclear Program with a Broader Conclusion

Olli Heinonen

This January, Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) embarked on the difficult road towards Transition Day – October 18, 2023, or earlier if the IAEA can reach a Broader Conclusion that all of Iran’s nuclear materials and facilities are for peaceful purposes and it is not...

20th June 2016 - Quoted by Jennifer Rubin - The Washington Post

New evidence of Iran’s chicanery — and the Obama administration’s

Mark Dubowitz

The Wall Street Journal reports: The Obama administration has concluded that uranium particles discovered last year at a secretive Iranian military base likely were tied to the country’s past, covert nuclear weapons program, current and former officials said, a finding that contradicts...

16th June 2016 - Foreign Policy

The Obama Administration Needs to Stand Strong on Iran Sanctions

Mark Dubowitz, Annie Fixler

Iran's demands are escalating. The supreme leader is sounding the alarm about American mendacity. An anxious U.S. secretary of state is practically begging companies to return to Iran. Cautious banking executives and a distrustful and angry Congress are pushing back. Welcome to the fallout...

3rd May 2016 - Quoted by The Tower

Iran’s Excess Heavy Water Development Highlights Concerns over Compliance with Nuclear Deal

Olli Heinonen

The United States agreed last month to buy 32 tons of excess “heavy water,” a byproduct of nuclear enrichment, from Iran, which had produced more heavy water than the agreed-upon limits of the nuclear deal it signed with global powers last year.

28th April 2016 - FDD Policy Brief

IAEA Takes a Light Touch on Iran’s Heavy Water

Olli Heinonen

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) between Iran and the international community limits Tehran’s heavy water inventory to no more than 130 metric tons for the current Arak reactor before reconfiguration to a smaller capacity.

30th March 2016 - Quoted by Fred Fleitz - Newsmax

Obama May Allow Iran Access to US Financial Markets

Mark Dubowitz, Jonathan Schanzer

It seems that almost every month since the nuclear agreement with Iran, the “Obama bomb” deal, was announced last summer there have been new revelations about how the agreement is weaker that Obama administration claimed and side deals that the administration failed to disclose to...

16th March 2016 - Quoted by Laurence Norman - The Wall Street Journal

Will the Juicy Details Return to UN Atomic Agency’s Iran Reports?

Olli Heinonen

One unexpected result of the Iran-nuclear deal: for all the promises of increased transparency, reports by the international watchdog are getting less detailed not more so.

9th March 2016 - Quoted by National Review

In Yet Another Secret Side Deal, Iran’s Nuclear Violations Won’t Be Publicly Disclosed

Olli Heinonen

On Monday, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) director general Yukiya Amano explained what had up to this point been a mystery: namely, why its recent reports on Iran’s nuclear program have been so vague and contain such little data. As it turns out, under the Iran nuclear deal or...

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