Analysis & Commentary


4th June 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Suicide bomber strikes religious conference in Kabul

Thomas Joscelyn

A suicide bomber struck a meeting of the Afghan Ulema Council (AUC) in Kabul earlier today. The Taliban's spokesman denied that his group had any connection to the attack. However, the Islamic State claimed responsibility via its Amaq News Agency, which released two short messages on the...

3rd June 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban operations span the entire country, Afghan Interior Ministry confirms

Bill Roggio

The Taliban are operating in all regions of Afghanistan and casualties among Afghan police have increased, according to the Ministry of Interior. This directly contradicts overly optimistic assessments by both Resolute Support and the Pentagon.

2nd June 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban says negotiations are ‘pointless’ as long as coalition forces occupy Afghanistan

Bill Roggio

"Talking to impotent parties [the Afghan government] during the presence of occupying forces is pointless," Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid said in an official statement released on Voice of Jihad.

31st May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban and Islamic State target religious opponents in Afghanistan

Thomas Joscelyn

According to a State Department report published this week, the Taliban continues "to assassinate and threaten religious leaders with death for preaching messages contrary to" its "interpretation of Islam or its political agenda.” As part of its widespread assassination campaign, Taliban...

31st May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Islamic State releases photo of 10-man team responsible for Kabul raid

Thomas Joscelyn

The US military initially assessed that an attack on Afghanistan's Ministry of Interior in Kabul yesterday wasn't the work of the Islamic State, but instead the Taliban's Haqqani Network. However, the Islamic State's so-called Khorasan province quickly claimed responsibility for the...

30th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Jihadists attack Afghan interior ministry in Kabul

Thomas Joscelyn

A team of jihadists assaulted Afghanistan's Ministry of Interior in Kabul earlier today. It is the latest in a string of attacks inside the Afghan capital this year. Both the Taliban and the Islamic State's Khorasan "province" are able to hit targets inside the city.

29th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Afghan forces withdraw from district center in Uruzgan as the Taliban attacks

Bill Roggio

The security situation in the south continues to deteriorate. An Afghan official admitted security forces abandoned the governor's compound and police headquarters in Chora district. The Taliban claims it overran all 17 security outposts and controls the district center.

27th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban suicide bomber hits Afghan forces in Helmand

Bill Roggio

The Taliban claimed it killed more than 100 Afghan soldiers, policemen, and tribal fighters, while one Afghan official admitted 17 soldiers were killed and 21 more were wounded.

24th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

US strike hits Taliban ‘command and control node’ in Helmand

Bill Roggio

The Taliban denied that a command center was hit and claimed two civilian homes were destroyed in the strike.

23rd May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

New reports from Afghanistan give false hopes for peace

Bill Roggio

As US, European, and Afghan officials cling to the idea that the Taliban will negotiate a peace settlement to end the war in Afghanistan, a recent string of news articles would lead you to believe that the Taliban is actually willing to reach a compromise. However, these stories are...

20th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban overruns second district in Ghazni

Bill Roggio

Security in Ghazni province has deteriorated rapidly over the past year. Of Ghazni's 19 districts, the Taliban control five and contest nine more, according to information compiled by FDD's Long War Journal. The provincial capital is threatened by the Taliban.

18th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Pentagon spokesperson doubles down on ‘desperate’ Taliban comment

Bill Roggio

Dana White also denied the Taliban has the initiative and touted the fact that all six Afghan Army corps are now on the offensive as a sign of success. Except all six army corps have been on the offensive since last fall, and security has continued to deteriorate.

17th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Afghan military identifies 7 provincial capitals ‘under pressure’

Bill Roggio

The Ministry of Defense identified six of the seven provincial centers that are threatened by the Taliban as Farah City, Faizabad in Badakhshan, Tarin Kot in Uruzgan, Kunduz City, Maimana in Faryab, and Pul-i-Khumri in Baghlan. The seventh city is likely Ghazni City or Lashkar Gah.

17th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban’s 2018 offensive encompasses all regions of Afghanistan

Bill Roggio

The Taliban appears to maintain the initiative throughout Afghanistan, while the Afghan military is forced to react to Taliban offensives, such as the latest incursion into Farah City.

16th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban claims it seizes 2 Afghan districts

Bill Roggio

Taliban claimed it took control of two districts, one in Badghis province and another in Ghazni. The Taliban has overrun five districts since it announced the beginning of its 2018 offensive.

16th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

US military kills ‘dual-hatted’ AQIS leader in eastern Afghanistan

Bill Roggio

Hazrat Abbas served as a leader for both al Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent and the Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan. AQIS was formed to unite disparate jihadist factions to fight under the banner of the Afghan Taliban.

16th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

As Taliban enters Farah City, Resolute Support wrongly claims Afghan government is in control

Bill Roggio

Video evidence emerging from the city shows Taliban fighters patrolling areas of the city, seizing weapons, and in control of government buildings.

15th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Taliban launches coordinated assault on Farah City

Bill Roggio

The assault on Farah City should put to rest claims by the US military that the Taliban is desperate and losing ground in Afghanistan. Farah has been under threat for months.

14th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Islamic State suicide team strikes tax office in Jalalabad

Bill Roggio

At least nine people were killed and more than 30 more were wounded in the latest attack by the Islamic State's branch in Afghanistan.

13th May 2018 - FDD's Long War Journal

Analysis: Shabaab advertises its al Qaeda allegiance

Thomas Joscelyn

Since late April, Shabaab has released a series of videos emphasizing its place in al Qaeda's global network. Two of the videos were recorded by the group's emir, Abu Ubaydah Ahmad Umar, a normally reclusive figure. Abu Ubaydah refers to the Taliban's emir as the "Commander of the Faithful"...

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